Use method comparison, diagnostics, and sensitivity to form a reserve range.
Close week A familiar triangle meets a changed litigation environment. The method is only as good as the assumptions it carries. Reserve diagnostics Method, assumption, sensitivity, communication A good reserve review asks where each method can fail. Shortcut Average the indications A range users can understand. Compare methods by assumptions, not by familiarity. Data boundary Step 1 The extract includes claims through March 31, but case reserves were refreshed April 7. What should Dev do first before selecting a reserve method? Method strain Step 2 Development factors assume the old litigation emergence pattern. Which method comparison gives the strongest evidence…
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