Walk a Vague Forecast Ask Into a Viable Project
Navigate the early decisions that turn a vague AI forecasting request into a scoped data science project.
Forecast scoping The ask is "forecast demand with AI." The real job is to discover the decision grain before the model grain. A finer forecast is not automatically more useful. Useful means aligned to the replenishment action. CRISP-DM path Action grain -> data grain -> error cost Move from business understanding to data understanding in order. Each choice narrows what the model should predict. Shortcut Model the finest table available. The forecast becomes deployable because it matches a real operating rhythm. The model target should be no finer than the action that will use it. 01 Action 02 Grain 03…
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