Assume the Launch Already Failed
Run the core premortem move by assuming failure first and working backward to causes.
Assume the Launch Already Failed The concept A premortem starts with imagined failure, but it should end with changed management behavior. The useful move is to separate the future failure from the causes that create it, the signals that reveal it early, and the treatment decisions that reduce or contain it. Why it works Teams are often overconfident at kickoff because alignment feels like progress. The premortem creates a temporary permission structure for doubt. Once the risk is visible, the framework turns it into evidence, ownership, and thresholds. How to use it Write the failure mode in observable language. Add…
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