Classify compliance risks by likelihood and impact to guide oversight intensity.
Likelihood Impact Lower Higher Watch list Lower impact · Lower likelihood Light monitoring or local handling may be enough. Do not inflate these into committee work without a reason. Targeted checks Higher likelihood · Lower impact Use detective controls, sampling, or workflow simplification to reduce repeated friction without overbuilding governance. Contingency ready Lower likelihood · Higher impact Keep escalation paths, ownership, and response playbooks clear even if events are uncommon. Tight governance Higher impact · Higher likelihood Use stronger approvals, more frequent testing, clearer ownership, and faster remediation because failure is both plausible and material. 2x2-matrix detail-card
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