Classify claims by evidence strength and bias risk to choose the right next move.
Bias risk Evidence strength Low bias risk High bias risk Weak evidence Strong evidence Act Strong evidence, low bias risk Move with normal review. The claim has support, and the decision environment is not heavily loaded by authority, vividness, or wishful thinking. tl Guardrail Strong evidence, high bias risk Act, but add safeguards. The evidence may be good, yet social pressure or incentives could distort implementation. tr Watch Weak evidence, low bias risk Park or monitor. The claim is not ready for major action, but it does not require heavy debiasing. bl
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