Recall demand-forecasting language and checks under meeting pressure.
What is the first question in a forecast review? Think baseline before adjustment. Compared with what baseline? Baseline check A forecast cannot be judged in isolation. The baseline shows whether the model, override, or consensus process added value. MAPE vs MASE for low-volume demand: which is safer? Use the metric that matches the demand pattern and decision. Compare Sales says: The buyer is excited, so lift the forecast. A field signal is timely but not yet confirmed. Your line I will capture the upside as a scenario today and move it into the base forecast when we have a causal…
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