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DEMAND-FORECASTING5 MIN READ

Walk a Promotion Exception

Walk through Promotion exception treatment using baseline, evidence, and S&OP consequence.

S&OP fork A customer hint, tight capacity, and a locked demand plan collide in the same pre-meeting. Each choice either preserves or blurs the assumptions the business will execute against. Forecast walk Classify -> treat -> decide A demand signal should move through classification before it changes the forecast. Move the number Fast, but it makes learning and accountability muddy. A forecast that supports action without fake certainty. Do not let uncertain demand signals skip straight into the consensus number; classify the evidence first and tie the treatment to an operational decision. 01 Signal 02 Treatment 03 Action Step 1…

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