Create a specific commitment to use first principles, inversion, and second-order thinking on a live decision.
Use first principles, inversion, and second-order thinking on a live decision before commitment. a vendor renewal, roadmap tradeoff, hiring decision, metric change, or customer promise where the decision has real second-order consequences For [decision], I will write: Floor — what must be true and what do we know? Failure — what plausible preventable failure could occur? Fallout — what behavior, precedent, or cost could this create next? In 3 days, review whether you wrote the three bullets before the decision and whether one bullet changed the outcome. A vendor renewal where switching costs or data lock-in may be underestimated A…
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