PAVE Turns a Hunch Into a Risk Picture
Use PAVE to separate operational risk into four inspectable categories.
Legal is not the same as low-risk. Pilot Crew condition, recency, workload, fatigue signals, language or experience gaps, and who has the bandwidth to manage surprises. Aircraft Deferred items, fuel state, performance limits, equipment status, MEL/CDL implications, and whether the aircraft is still a good match for the mission. enVironment Weather, runway state, NOTAMs, airspace constraints, congestion, terrain, ramp conditions, and downstream station capacity. External Pressures Schedule pressure, passenger connections, crew legality, VIP attention, maintenance positioning, and the subtle urge to make the original plan work.
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