Act when the renewable forecast drifts
Apply OODA to live renewable forecast drift without overreacting or freezing.
Live drift The solar forecast is 18 MW high with one market interval nearly due. A slow response costs money; a reckless response can drain flexibility. OODA under forecast drift Fast, oriented action Observe the signals, orient to the operating context, decide a bounded move, and act while continuing the loop. Shortcut Trust the model until someone proves it is wrong, then swing to manual. The desk responds before drift becomes avoidable market exposure. OODA is not just a speed loop. It is a sensemaking loop for changing conditions. O1 Observe O2 Orient D/A Decide/Act Read the signals The forecast…
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