Calculate the maintenance value case
Estimate the value and guardrails of a predictive maintenance AI use case.
Filler pump failures cause eight unplanned downtime events per year, averaging 5 hours each at $4,500 per hour of lost contribution and recovery cost. Risk value case: consequence x preventable frequency minus treatment and false-alarm cost The common trap is using model accuracy as the business case. Accuracy does not tell you whether the alert gives enough time, reduces downtime, or overloads mechanics. Baseline loss 8 failures x 5 hours x $4,500 per hour = $180,000 annual unplanned downtime loss. Start with the operational loss. The AI is only valuable if it changes this loss or a related quality/schedule loss.…
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