ALGORITHMIC-TRADING5 MIN READ
Run the overfit premortem out loud
Use a project premortem conversation to surface overfitting, leakage, and deployment risks before strategy launch.
dialogue-thread premortem-risk-list coaching-cards Ana AN Portfolio manager 1 Imagine failure 2 Name causes 3 Convert to tests The launch review 30 sec Premortem moment A new futures carry strategy passed the launch checklist. Ana asks the team to imagine it failed six weeks after launch. The premortem makes risk naming legitimate before capital is committed. 6 wk
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