Sort Evidence By Thesis Impact
Classify research evidence by how it should affect an investment thesis.
Sort each evidence card by how it should affect an equity-research thesis. Core thesis driver Risk to monitor Context or noise Disconfirming evidence New cohort churn rises 400 bps in the segment that drives the Buy thesis Backlog conversion improves in the product line that accounts for 70% of forecast upside CEO says demand feels healthy but gives no supporting metric A small competitor changes its logo color and refreshes its website Supplier lead times extend from six weeks to ten weeks in the constrained component Pricing realization holds above 4% for the third quarter, matching the margin thesis Inventory…
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