Convert a strongly held belief into a falsifiable assumption and next test.
The certainty Sam wants to kill the async check-in because he is sure managers will hate it. The decision matters because one broad belief could end a feature before evidence enters. Decision walk Claim -> rung -> disconfirm -> test Use the Ladder of Inference to turn a conclusion into evidence-seeking behavior. Reflex Debate the belief as identity. A belief that can learn. Humility converts certainty into a testable assumption. 01 Name the claim 02 Find the leap 03 Now test it Step 1 The team needs to know what belief is driving the kill decision.
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