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NONPROFIT-MANAGEMENT5 MIN READ

Theory of Change Assumption Cards

Recall the key checks that make a Theory of Change usable.

What is the fastest test for a usable Theory of Change? You can explain the causal link from activity to outcome without using magic words alone. The chain should show what changes, for whom, and why the activity plausibly causes it. Recall Which claim is stronger? The stronger claim respects the accountability ceiling. Naming assumptions makes the proposal sound uncertain. A colleague wants to remove assumptions from a grant narrative. Your line It makes the proposal more credible. Assumptions show what we will monitor so risk does not stay hidden. Do not apologize for uncertainty; manage it. Funders trust plans…

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