Navigate a program pivot using Theory of Change and evaluation evidence.
The pressure Outcome data is weak even though activity counts look strong. The decision changes trust, money, and mission delivery. Framework CDC Evaluation Use Loop Use evaluation to improve a program by checking evidence quality, stakeholder meaning, and the causal link before changing the intervention. Reflex Solve the visible problem only A clear next action with fewer hidden assumptions. Frame Step 1 The team wants to call the program a failure. What do you ask first? Evidence Step 2 Attendance was high overall, but confidence gains were low. What evidence do you inspect next? Now you try
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