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SALES-FORECASTING5 MIN READ

Coverage Is High but Late-Stage Deals Are Aging

Diagnose a quarter where raw coverage looks healthy but weighted and commit quality are decaying.

Forecast moment The dashboard says 4.6x coverage. The reps feel safe. RevOps points out that seven late-stage deals have aged past the team's normal close window. Big pipeline cannot rescue weak late-stage momentum by itself. Signal separation Coverage, weighting, and commit answer different questions. When coverage is high but late-stage momentum is weak, the issue is usually not capacity; it is closeability and classification. Do not solve a conversion problem with a vanity-pipeline response. Common trap A big multiple makes the team stop inspecting aging and slippage. The quarter is managed through the bottleneck instead of the loudest headline. Interpret…

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