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SCENARIO-PLANNING5 MIN READ

Commit to a Mini Scenario Scan

Commit to a specific mini-scan that gathers scenario drivers for one live decision.

Run a mini scenario scan for one live uncertain decision. A real scenario-planning situation where a decision depends on external drivers, weak signals, or uncertain future conditions. I will scan the future of [decision] by [date]. My scoping question is: How might [strategy/choice] need to change by [year] if [uncertainty A] and [uncertainty B] move in different directions? I will gather at least eight drivers, rank them by importance and uncertainty, and share the top three with [stakeholder]. In 3 days, check whether the scoping question, driver list, and top-three uncertainty ranking exist. A vendor renewal where the future of…

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