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SCENARIO-PLANNING4 MIN READ

Sort Signals, Trends, and Uncertainties

Distinguish signals, trends, critical uncertainties, and predetermined elements in a scenario scan.

Sort each workplace-learning scan note by its role in scenario planning. Weak signal Trend Critical uncertainty Predetermined element A major employer pilots union-negotiated rules for AI coaching data Three customers ask whether AI tutors can explain how advice is generated Mobile completion rates have risen for six consecutive quarters Learning budgets have shifted from classroom delivery to digital subscriptions since 2022 Learner trust in AI-generated coaching could rise or fall sharply by 2029 Employer funding for reskilling could expand or contract under margin pressure The workforce will include a larger share of employees over 55 during the planning horizon The…

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