Turn Signals Into Signposts
Convert weak signals and trends into signposts that can be monitored after scenarios are built.
Signals become valuable when they are turned into signposts the team can actually watch. Horizon scanning helps you notice emerging change. Signposts help you keep learning after the scenario workshop ends. They are observable indicators connected to a scenario's logic. They do not announce the future; they reduce surprise by showing which assumptions are gaining or losing support. Signals are inputs A signal might be a new regulation draft, a customer behavior shift, a competitor pilot, a price movement, a hiring pattern, or a social norm change. Signals are often messy and incomplete. That is normal. Their job is to…
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