SYSTEMS-THINKING5 MIN READ
Explain an Oscillating Forecast
Coach a leader to diagnose oscillation caused by feedback delay and overcorrection.
Sam ST Operations manager 1 Pattern 2 Delay 3 Rule Oscillation 10 min Forecast review The inventory forecast has swung shortage, surplus, shortage, surplus for eight weeks. The visible error may be a delayed balancing loop, not analyst incompetence. 8 wks swing pattern 21 days supplier lead time
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