Choose the strongest next step when a workplace metric shows correlation but not causation.
Close rate rose after the coaching module. The room is ready to call it causation. Nadia has 20 minutes before the CRO review. What is the strongest data-skeptical move? Say the module is associated with the lift, then ask for a comparison group before claiming causation. Right. This preserves the useful signal while refusing to overclaim. It names the correlation and asks for evidence that weakens rival explanations. Remove the chart until the team can run a perfect randomized experiment. Too rigid. Causal caution does not require hiding useful evidence; it requires labeling certainty honestly and choosing the next test.…
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