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FINANCIAL-MODELING5 MIN READ

Work a Three-Scenario Runway

Create a simple scenario-based cash runway comparison.

Starting cash is $3.8M. Base monthly collections are $900K, cash costs are $1.05M, and planned hires add $120K per month from July. The company wants to stay above $2.0M cash. Scenario runway compares linked futures against a decision threshold. Change collections, hiring, and spend only where the case logic supports it. The common shortcut is to subtract average burn from starting cash and announce one runway date. That misses timing, hiring decisions, and the minimum cash threshold. Step 1 Base burn before hires = $1.05M costs - $900K collections = $150K per month. Start with the monthly cash bridge, not…

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