Spot the scenario planning anti-pattern
Identify the scenario planning mistake that turns alternatives into disguised forecasts.
Four labelled futures, one suspiciously identical answer. Find the anti-pattern that makes this scenario exercise weak. The same hiring answer appears in every scenario quadrant Correct: repeated decisions can be a no-regret move, but here it signals the team may have smuggled in one preferred forecast without testing alternatives. A cluster of macrotrend driver notes Driver notes are expected. The issue is not using trends; it is failing to let different scenarios change action. A row reserved for watchpoints and trigger signals Watchpoints are a strength because they connect scenarios to later action. A leader standing back with arms crossed…
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