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STATISTICS-FOR-BUSINESS5 MIN READ

Referral Applicants: Signal Or Cause?

Explain why an observed association in recruiting data is not automatically evidence of a causal sourcing strategy.

A modern recruiting analytics desk with a hiring manager and analyst reviewing laptop dashboards, candidate profile cards as abstract shapes, glass meeting room, clean real-world office lighting, open space to the right for overlays, realistic editorial photo style, no text, words, letters, numerals, logos. A recruiter and analyst review hiring channel data. Referred applicants appear to have higher interview pass rates, but role mix, candidate pre-screening, and recruiter response speed may differ by channel. The pattern is real. The cause is not proven. What should Luis say before the team cuts job-board spend? Referral applicants passed interviews more often, but…

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