Explain why an observed association in recruiting data is not automatically evidence of a causal sourcing strategy.
The pattern is real. The cause is not proven. What should Luis say before the team cuts job-board spend? Referral applicants passed interviews more often, but we should compare similar roles and response times before calling referrals the cause. Right. It treats the association as a useful signal while checking confounding and selection before a causal budget move. The higher pass rate proves referrals make applicants stronger, so the budget should move now. This turns correlation into causation. It ignores that referrals may already be better screened or routed to easier-to-fill roles. The pattern is correlated, so it is useless…
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